Post-Conference Report by Mary Gostelow,Publisher/Editor of Gostelow ReportThe first Russia CIS Hotel Investment Conference was a sell-out, with 420 delegates, 50% from outside the region: 110 total were investors-developers. In his opening remarks, the conference patron, HRH Prince Michael of Kent GCVO, pointed out that the hotel sector often acts as an economic barometer of change. The lifetime achievement award, an Inuit bear statue, went to the Mayor of Moscow, Yuri Luzhkov, who came to Horwath's opening vodka reception.
Macro-economy came from The Economist's Daniel Thorniley. Whatever happens, China and Russia's GDP growth will be about 5 times that of Europe/USA for the foreseeable future (CNN says every Russian partner will steal your money and kill you - all of which is at least 97.6% wrong). Russia's big weakness is that it is very bad on PR: even the USA knows Russia is between Cuba and Nicaragua. Russia is still today one of the top macro-economies in the world. Here topline growth is 13-35%: Microsoft is growing at 99%. There is lots of opportunity. Only 1% of the population are shareholders (in the USA it is 45%) and only 3% are in mortgages (in the USA it is over 50%). Russian consumers understand quality and will pay for it. In Russia real wages after inflation are growing 12%; Germany and Japan are zero, USA 0.1%. Since 2004 corruption has diminished significantly generally but it has increased in dealings with government and state-run companies. What the government should do is double spending on education and health, and cut the defence budget by 80%. |